Victoria, Texas-: Today: Mostly sunny with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 91 degrees. Winds: S 10-15/G25 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Heat Indices will be in the 105 to 110 degree range.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  Low: 74 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Friday:  Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 92 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15 mph increasing to SE 20-25/G30 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.  Heat Indices will be in the 105 to 110 degree range while further west they could be in the 110 to 113 degree range.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  Low: 76 degrees. Winds: SE 15-20/G30 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Saturday through Thursday: 

Saturday:  Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 94/74 degrees. Winds: SE 15-20/G25 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Sunday: Partly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 89/73 degrees. Winds: NE 10-15/G20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms before 1 pm.
Monday: Partly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 89/73 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.  Mainly after 8 am.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 86/71 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 60% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Wednesday: Partly sunny with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 87/71 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday:  Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 87/70 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph.  A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Synopsis:
Low-pressure storms move over Baja, California and will start moving east through Northern Mexico while high-pressure slowly moves through the Northern Plains.  Thursday will be another hot, dry and breezy day in the Crossroads.  Moisture and developing cloud cover will keep temperatures slightly cooler than Wednesday (yesterday) but this will push heat indices into the 105–110-degree range. 


Elevated Fire Weather will be a concern on Thursday (and Friday) while winds out of the southeast switched to the south on Wednesday night and will keep moisture moving into South Texas allowing for relative humidity levels to increase from 35 percent to 50 percent.  The moisture jump could push Elevated Fire Weather concerns temporarily aside.  

 
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday at times of high tide.
 

For the long-term period, Friday through Wednesday, a low-pressure system could approach South Texas on Friday and will send disturbances through the area on Saturday.  Most of the activity will stay to the north of the viewing area, but some of the energy could move our way and produce a scattered shower or two.

 

Over the weekend a trough will strengthen across the Rocky Mountains and should move west to east cross the Great Plains early next week.  The eastward movement of this trough will push disturbances into South Texas that could lead to showers and thunderstorms (40 percent chance) in the area from Monday morning through Tuesday night with up to half an inch of rain during that period.  Building moisture, and lift from support in the high levels of the atmosphere could be enough to be the spark for the much-needed rain around here.

By the middle of next week, the rain showers will taper off. Temperatures will be hot again on Friday and Saturday ranging from the low 90’s along the coast to near 106 degrees off to the west away from the water.  Heat indices on Friday will range from 105 to 109 degrees with some locations reaching 109 to 112 degrees with the heat index factor.
Saturday will be even warmer with heat indices out west between 110 to 113 degrees with areas closer to the coast near 107 degrees. These temperatures will prompt Heat Advisories across most of the area.
 
A cold front could move into South Texas (stalling just to the north of the area) over the weekend and move back to the north, then back towards the viewing area with the potential to turn into a warm front and move back north.  Either way, the boundary should knock temperatures down a little bit. Temperatures will be in the mid 90’s out west and in the upper 80’s near the coast.  Plus, the increased cloud cover combined with the rain, could keep temperatures under 90 degrees for a few days next week.  

Almanac

[ALMANAC_FORECAST zipcode="77901" header="false"]

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