Warm, sunny and breezy

Tuesday Weather 3-15-22

 

 


Victoria
, Texas-:  Today: Sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 76 degrees. Winds: NW 10-20/G25 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.  Early patchy fog in some spots.  Plus, keeping an eye on potential early thunderstorms.

Tuesday Night: Clear skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  Low: 45 degrees. Winds: NE 5-10 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and possible thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 78 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  Low: 53 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and possible thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Thursday through Tuesday: 

Thursday: Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 78/56 degrees. Winds: SE 5-15/G20.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm.

Friday: Sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 75/49 degrees. Winds: N 10-15/G20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 75/48 degrees. Winds: NE 10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday: Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 76/60 degrees. Winds: SE 20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Mostly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 79/59 degrees. Winds: SE 20 mph.  A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 76/51 degrees. Winds: NW 10 mph.  A 40% chance (AM thunderstorms) of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Synopsis: Winds shifted and strengthened across the northwestern portion of the viewing area from 10 pm to 1 am last night, with the cold front reaching the southern waters between 5 am and 7 am early this (Tuesday) morning.  Dry and stable conditions will be the norm across most of South Texas, but rain can be expected in Victoria and some other inland locations (Northern Coastal Bend).

The Storm Prediction Center has part of the Crossroads in a Marginal Risk area for severe weather overnight Monday into Tuesday.  Due to strong stored energy from the sun, an even closer eye will be kept on strong to severe weather conditions with strong winds developing ahead of and along the cold front. The best chance for severe weather to occur inland away from the water will be between 1 am and 5 am on Tuesday.

After the front leaves the viewing area Tuesday morning, dry stable conditions will take over for the next few days.  Winds could stay on the stronger side from out of the northwest to the northeast behind the front for much of Tuesday.

Due to gusty winds, low relative humidity levels (20 percent out west, 30 percent to the east) and dry soils, Elevated Fire Weather Conditions could be part of the equation for a few hours on Tuesday afternoon.

Temperatures Monday night into Tuesday morning fell into the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.  This cold front will only knock temperatures down by a few degrees compared to Monday’s highs.  Clear skies will lead to Tuesday’s low temperatures dropping into the 40’s. Wednesday’s temperature highs will range from the mid 70’s to the mid 80’s.

For the long-term period, Wednesday through Monday, temperatures stay warm through Thursday.  A disturbance will move through the Southern Plains as a low-pressure system (surface) strengthens in Northern Texas.  This will help to increase moisture across South Texas as moisture levels increase to around 1″ along coastal locations.

A cold front will push through South Texas on Friday morning. This front could trigger isolated showers along and ahead of the front that could linger into Saturday morning.  High temperatures will range from the mid 70’s to around 90 degrees through Thursday.  The front on Friday will drop temperature highs into the 70’s to around 80 degrees. Temperatures will increase again moving into the weekend.  Low temperatures will stay in the mid 40’s to the mid 50’s each night.

More rain could be in store for early next week as another front moves into South Texas meeting up with increasing Gulf moisture.