The tropics has some new life while rain chances stay alive in South Texas

Monday Weather 8-8-22

2222222222222

 

Victoria, Texas-: Tonight: Mostly clear skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 76 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms before 7 pm.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 95 degrees. Heat indices near 106 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms after 1 pm.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 75 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph becoming light after Midnight.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 96 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly after 1 pm.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 75 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15 mph becoming light after Midnight.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Thursday through Tuesday: 

Thursday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 93/74 degrees. Winds: SE  5-10 mph.  A 40%-60% chance of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms after 1 pm.

Friday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 92/75 degrees. Winds: E 10 mph.  A 60% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday: Sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 94/75 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.  

Sunday: Sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 94/74 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.  

Monday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 97/75 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.  

Tuesday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 96/75 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.  

Synopsis: A trough moved close to the South Texas coast last night and should move into the coast during the day today (Monday). Plus, a low in northern Mexico will move close and to the south of the Crossroads during the day on Monday.

Showers started up again last night and during the morning on Monday and scattered showers should start up again this afternoon and evening along the Seabreeze (moisture levels around average at 2.0″) with possible thunderstorms. The action should move east to west out of the area with the showers tapering off by the early evening as the Seabreeze weakens.

High tides (1/4′ above average), decent winds and air flow moving from the southeast could lead to minor coastal flooding with water levels 1’of flood levels. A Coastal Flood Advisory could be issued Tuesday with better flood chances as the long-term period moves ahead.

For the long-term period, Tuesday through Sunday, high pressure in the Rocky Mountains will move south into the Plains while the low-pressure storm moving up from Mexico will move off to the west.  High-pressure will move close but the Seabreeze and daytime heating from the sun could still bring some isolated showers Tuesday and Wednesday as  moisture levels stay in the 2.0″ (average) range.

Later in the work week, more disturbances will push near and into the Crossroads (into the southeastern portion of the high-pressure) adding more moisture to the environment (2.3″).  This addition of moisture, disturbances and lift (upward spin) will bring the best rain chances to the Crossroads (that we have seen in a while).  This will provide a rich moisture-laden environment that could provide ample rainfall.  These storms should move west of South Texas by Saturday while high-pressure moves in from the Four Corners (into South Texas).  Some lingering storm energy and low-level moisture moving in from the Gulf will keep rain chances alive through the weekend.  Higher moisture levels will keep indices in the 105-109 degrees range for most of the  week.  A few days could see 110 degrees and meet Heat Advisory criteria potentially (middle of the week).

High tides, decent winds and air flow moving from the southeast should lead to longer rip tide swells that will push more water up the coast.  Rip currents could be strong later in the work week.  Again, there are higher chances of rain for Thursday and Friday with Coastal Flood Advisories possible through the week.

Tropical Update: There is a tropical wave off the west coast of Africa bringing unorganized showers and thunderstorms.  The storm is starting to move north northwest at 20 mph.  The next two days
don’t bode well for the storm but days 3-5 there could be further development.  Channel 25 News Now will let you know of the latest developments.