Sunny with warmer temperatures

Thursday Weather 1-13-22

 


VICTORIA
, Texas-: Today: Sunny skies after some areas of early morning fog with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 73 degrees. Winds: NW 5-10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday Night: Clear skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 44 degrees. Winds: NW 5 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Friday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 74 degrees. Winds: S 10-15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  Low: 52 degrees. Winds: NW 5-10 mph (SE winds before Midnight).

Extended 
Forecast: Saturday through Thursday:

Saturday: Partly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 60/34 degrees. Winds: NW 15-20/G30 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms before Noon.

Sunday: Sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 55/34 degrees. Winds: NW 5-15/G20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: 
Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 67/41 degrees. Winds: SW 5 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 76/57 degrees. Winds: S 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday:  Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 78/53 degrees. Winds: SW 10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 64/43 degrees. Winds: N 15 mph.  A 20% chance of early scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Synopsis:  A ridge of high pressure developed in the area after some storm disturbances pushed through the vicinity Wednesday afternoon and evening.  High pressure along with the push down effect (on the atmosphere) due to the system’s influence will keep rain free, dry conditions through the short-term weather period. Thursday’s weather looks nice with sunshine and high temperatures warming into the 70’s.

In the long term for the extended period, days 3 to 7, Thursday night through Tuesday, an upper-level disturbance (storm energy) should move across the Rocky Mountains and entering the Plains Thursday night into Friday.  The storms will move into the southern Plains (moving south and southeast)/lower Mississippi Valley on Saturday and Saturday night.

Next, the system will move across the southeastern portion of the United States on Sunday.

An associated cold front will push into the viewing area on Friday night, and it will move offshore into the Gulf around 7 am on Sunday.  Water values out ahead of the front should approach 1″ while stored energy from the sun stays on the lower side.  Rain showers will trigger out ahead of the front with most of the rain taking place out over the Gulf.

Cooler, drier air will move in after the front passes through the area.  Combine this with the Polar Jet (upper level fast moving winds) diving down to near San Antonio and Austin on Saturday, and the result will be temperatures dropping into the 30’s Saturday and Sunday night.

Elevated Fire Weather could be possible on Saturday as the atmosphere dry’s, winds pick up and humidity levels fall.