Sunny and warm conditions through Sunday but the pattern changes begin on Monday

Saturday Weather 6-25-22

 

Victoria, Texas-: Tonight: Mostly clear skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 73 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G25 mph becoming southwest after Midnight.  Patchy fog after 4 am.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday:  Sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 98 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Sunday Night: Mostly clear skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 73 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph.  Patchy fog after 5 am.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Monday through Friday: 

MondayMostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 98/75 degrees. Winds: NW 5-10 mph turning northeast.  A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm.
 
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 89/73 degrees. Winds: N 5-10 mph.  A 60% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 am.
 
Wednesday: Partly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 89/74 degrees. Winds: N 10-15 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
 
Thursday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 92/76 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph.  A  60% chance of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
 
Friday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 95/76 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Synopsis: There is a trough (upside down) near the coast that is slowly moving from east to west.  Also, some lifting and upward spin in the upper levels is taking place over the viewing area.  Low moisture levels will keep rain chances low today even with heating from the sun. Heat indices will be over 100 degrees.  Winds are moderate today (Saturday) and should not cause too many problems with the rip currents.

Long term, Sunday night through Friday, disturbances will be moving through the northern Plains and Great Lakes.  This movement will push a cold front into South Texas on Monday night.  This feature will bring a lot of moisture to the viewing area.  The heating of the sun will bring unstable air into the northern portion of the viewing area Monday and then across the whole viewing area on Tuesday.

A low pressure system will develop over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, and should start moving off to the west and into the viewing area by Wednesday and Thursday.  This storm combined with daytime heating from the sun will bring large amounts of moisture to the Crossroads creating showers on Wednesday and Thursday with chances lessening on Friday.  Friday will see heat indices in the 105-109 degree range.

Tropical Update:  Disorganized storms half way between South America and Africa have a 30 percent chance of further development and turning into a tropical wave in the next 48-hours which is the next step before potential tropical storm intensity.