Storms begin today and could last on and off until Tuesday

Friday Weather 11-18-22

 

Victoria, Texas-: Tonight: Cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay below average.  Low: 45 degrees. Winds: NE 10-15/G20.  90% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly after 9 am.  1/10th” to 1/4th” of rain.

Saturday: Cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 48/43 degrees. Winds: NE 15-20/G25 mph.  A 90% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday Night: Cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  Low: 43 degrees. Winds: NE 15/G20.  30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms mostly before Midnight.

Extended Forecast: Sunday through Saturday:

Sunday: Cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 50/44 degrees. Winds: NE 10-15/G20 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 52/45 degrees. Winds: NE 10 mph.  A 70% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms after.

Tuesday: Cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 59/50 degrees. Winds: NE 10 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 66/56 degrees. Winds: NE 5 mph.  A 40% chance of PM scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 68/48 degrees. Winds: N 10 mph.  A 60% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Friday: Cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 67/45 degrees. Winds: NW 10 mph.  A 30% chance of AM scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 66/46 degrees. Winds: NW 10 mph.  A 20% chance of AM scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Synopsis:  A trough continues to drop down from the north allowing for cloudy skies and storms to move up from the north while a boundary is pushing down from the north.  These showers are stemming from the undercutting of cold air to the north moving south under the warm moist air.  That lift is triggering showers across South Texas.  High pressure in the northern part of the state will tug on the low pressure storm to the south in the Gulf.  This tugging will spike winds up over night with 30 mph gust or stronger.  Wind advisory’s could pop up in areas to the south (on the coast).  The cold front might not completely push through the area until Saturday afternoon.  Winds will stay strong while rain chances stay on the very high side with the possibility for a complete dry-off not coming until Tuesday.  The showers could resume again on Wednesday as disturbances push in.  The winds pushing down could bring coastal flooding to some Gulf facing beaches during high tide.

For the long term, Sunday through Thursday, scattered showers could resume on Wednesday as the trough continues to drop down from the north with the same cause and effect from undercutting of cold air to the north moving south under the warm moist air to the south. Some warm, moist (low-level) air from the south should start to slightly warm temperatures as we get closer to Thanksgiving.  The winds pushing down could bring coastal flooding to some Gulf facing beaches during high tide later in the week as well.

Tropical Update:  There are no weather features over the next 48-hours.