Rain chances that could last until Tuesday

Monday Weather 1-24-21

 

VICTORIA, Texas-: Today: Cloudy gradually becoming partly cloudy to partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 54 degrees. Winds: NE 5-10 mph.  A 90% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms before 3 pm.  Rain totals between 1/4″ and 1/2″.

 

Monday Night: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  Low: 41 degrees. Winds: NW 5-10 mph. A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms before Midnight.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 64 degrees. Winds: NE 5 mph.  A 10% chance of afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 45 degrees. Winds: NE 5-10 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended 
Forecast: Wednesday through Monday:    

Wednesday: Partly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 58/41 degrees. Winds: NE 10-15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 56/41 degrees. Winds: NE 10 mph.  A 20% chance of afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms after Noon.

Friday: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 63/33 degrees. Winds: N 15 mph.  A 10% chance of afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 65/44 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday:  Cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 70/47 degrees. Winds: S 15 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 68/45 degrees. Winds: NW 15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Synopsis: High pressure is in place along with some cloud cover.  A trough will push in from the southwest (mostly along the coast) as Sunday moves along. Cold air undercutting warming air and lifting it up at the 300 mb/30,000 feet level will keep the condensation and clouds going.  While a low-pressure system heads towards the area Sunday night from out of the southwest.  Also, 35-45 mph upper-level winds out of the southeast will increase moisture levels to the area (1-2″).

This should allow for scattered (to numerous) showers Sunday night from the west to east with rain chances and duration increasing Monday morning and Monday afternoon near the coast.

The approaching trough and low out of the southwest will meet up with existing Gulf moisture and that lift will enhance the showery activity. There could be a few claps of thunder on Monday but the stored energy from the sun will be on the low side.

Clouds will start to clear later in the day on Monday with the sun starting to warm temperatures just a bit.

For the long-term period, Monday night through Saturday, the rain showers will move out of the area on Monday, dry conditions will prevail for Monday night and Tuesday.

Monday night and Tuesday morning temperatures will drop into the 30’s and 40’s before temperatures warm into the mid 60’s and 70’s on Tuesday.

Then, a cold front will move into South Texas Tuesday night into Wednesday.  Due to dry conditions and limited lift, rain chances will stay in the 10-20 percent range along and ahead of the cold front.

The front will drag cooler air into South Texas as lows drop into the 40’s Tuesday night and only warm into the 60’s on Wednesday.

Some storm energy will move close to the Crossroads on Wednesday night into Thursday.  Increasing moisture levels due to these features will allow for isolated showers Wednesday night but becoming more scattered by Thursday.  The rain combined with cloud cover will keep temperatures on the cooler side for Thursday.

Then, rain chances will continue Friday morning as a low-pressure storm pushes another cold front into the area.  The cold front will move out over the Gulf later Friday morning as dry, cooler air moves in behind the front.  The weekend will see dry conditions.