Mostly Cloudy, Warm and Humid; Where is Winter?

Gulf Humidity, Overnight Fog to Persist

Cloudy skies, a light southeast wind and periods of overnight fog to be prevalent through Tuesday over the Crossroads as weak upper level forcing precludes any significant infusion of cold air to the region. Without significant dynamics, not much rain is expected, either. We may see an isolated showers or two Tuesday through Thursday, but not until a powerful upper level disturbance arrives Friday will that pattern change. Even then, the aforesaid disturbance is coming from the southern stream, the subtropical jet, where there is a significant moisture tap but no direct link to polar air. Therefore, only modestly cooler temperatures are expected through the second half of the week. The best chance of rain will be from Friday afternoon through the predawn hours on Saturday. Next weekend looks mostly fair and cool.