Looking good today but tomorrow will be different

Thursday Weather 11-3-22

 

Victoria, Texas-: Tonight: Partly cloudy skies along with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  Low: 72 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Friday: Partly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 84/59 degrees. Winds: S 10-20/G25 mph.  A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly after 8 am.

Friday Night: Cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  Low: 59 degrees. Winds: S 10-15/G20.  80% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Alert Day

Extended
Forecast: Saturday through Friday:

Saturday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 74/57 degrees. Winds: N 10 mph.  A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly before 8 am.

Sunday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 80/69 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 82/67 degrees. Winds: SE 5-15 mph.  A 20% chance of  scattered showers and thunderstorms after 8 am.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny skies for Halloween with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 82/64 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 81/61 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 76/55 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm.

Friday: Sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 73/45 degrees. Winds: N 10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly after 2 pm.

Synopsis:  Warm, breezy conditions for the Crossroads on Thursday.  Strong upper level winds will continue to cloud up the skies in the Crossroads.  Moisture moves in ahead of a cold front on Thursday night and Friday that could allow for some showers.  Winds should be strong enough to prevent fog or at least the heavy fog.  Storms moving through the Great Plains will push a cold front through South Texas on Friday night (between 7-9 pm Friday night in the western part of the viewing area with the boundary pushing into the open water by 12-3 am in the morning on Saturday).  There will be enough energy and instability to promote hail, heavy rain and strong winds that could bring severe weather conditions.  Hail cannot be ruled out as close tabs will be kept on the potential for tornado development.  After the boundary pushes through the area, cooler, dry air (more stable air) will move into the Crossroads as skies clear.

For the long term, Saturday through Wednesday, high pressure will be in Southern California while storms move to the areas near the Great Lakes.   High pressure will move east over the weekend.  Storms from the PNW and Canada will move south into the Great Basin area of the United States.  These storms will move through the Rocky Mountains and off to the northeast later in the week.  The cold front will move into the northwest Gulf (stalling) before turning around and moving back into the area as a warm front on Saturday and Sunday.  A return of Gulf moisture on Monday and Tuesday could lead to showers as well.  Most of these showers should stay over the water.  Sunshine with warmer temperatures will move in the rest of the week with another front moving out of the northwest next Thursday or Friday.

Tropical Update: Tropical Depression Lisa is moving west at 12 mph with 30 mph winds is bringing areas of flash flooding across portions of southeastern Mexico.

A feature several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda is bringing unorganized showers and thunderstorms.  The system is moving very little but should move west over the weekend.  There is only a 10 percent chance of further development and strengthening.