Light showers across 20 percent of the viewing area but on the hot side as well today

Tuesday Weather 8-16-22

 

Victoria, Texas-: Tonight: Mostly clear skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 75 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph becoming light after Midnight.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 96 degrees. Heat indices will be near 105 degrees.  Winds: S 5-10 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.  

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 75 degrees. Winds: SE 5-15/G20 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Wednesday night through Wednesday: 

Thursday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 98/75 degrees. Winds: SW 5-10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm.  

Friday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 95/75 degrees. Winds: SE 5-15/G20 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm.  

Saturday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 94/76 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10 mph becoming SE 10-15/G25 mph.  A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 94/76 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 94/76 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 94/75 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 95/75 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.


Synopsis: 
The storm that brought flooding to areas south of the viewing area moved west of Eagle Pass and into Coahuila on Monday afternoon/evening.  Flash flood watches continued until 7 pm last night (Monday night) in the Nueces and Kleberg County areas.  Rain continued out west in the Rio Grande area on Monday night.  The storm was south of the Big Bendy by 7 am while the high-pressure strengthened to the south (from the north).  The storm moved off to the northwest.

The atmosphere will start to dry out on Tuesday as the high moves into South Texas, but enough moisture will be left over from the storms to bring an isolated shower or two from lift along the Seabreeze while the sun further destabilizes the area.  The clouds and rain cooled the area down, but the excess moisture will keep heat indices between 105-109 degrees.  Temperatures will be cooler (73 degrees range) on Tuesday night as high-pressure clears out the skies of clouds.

For the long term, Wednesday through Sunday, high-pressure in northwest Texas that stretches to the Gulf should stay in the area through Wednesday night.  High pressure will wring out the atmosphere of moisture and dropping levels below 1.5″ (below average).  High pressure will start to loosen its grip by Thursday as a trough to the north (MRV to the Atlantic coast) moves south toward the northern Gulf coast.

This trough movement will send a cold front boundary south into central Texas Thursday morning.  The front could drift down into South Central Texas by Friday.  Back up a day to Thursday because daytime heating from the sun in southeast Texas will move that moisture (convection) into the viewing area.

The cold front will be close by, combined with daytime heating from the sun and the additional moisture in the area and rain chances are looking good for in the Crossroads for Friday.