Light scattered showers and on the warm side

Tuesday Weather 11-8-22

 

 

Victoria, Texas-: Tonight: Mostly cloudy skies along with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 67 degrees. Winds: NE 5-10.  30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 82/65 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10/G20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 67 degrees. Winds: E 5-10.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Thursday through Wednesday:

Wednesday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 82/66 degrees. Winds: SE 5-15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog before 7 am.

Thursday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 81/64 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Friday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 76/49 degrees. Winds: N 10-15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday:  Mostly cloudy with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 57/44 degrees. Winds: NE 15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday: Partly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 59/47 degrees. Winds: NE 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 64/44 degrees. Winds: NE 15 mph.  A 30% chance of  AM scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 68/43 degrees. Winds: NE 15 mph.  A 20% chance of  scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Synopsis: A plume of moisture over the water has been bringing scattered showers to the Crossroads.  There is a LID/CAP on the atmosphere that is keeping the heavy showers at bay.  The showers should slow down this evening.  The moisture present should allow for some late night fog Tuesday night that should dissipate early Wednesday morning.  High pressure will keep the area mostly sunny on Wednesday.  Some coastal locations could see some flooding during high tide.

For the long term, Thursday through Monday, high pressure should move to the east of the area by Thursday.  This will allow for storms in the Desert Southwest and the Plains to start moving east and southeast.  Scattered (light) showers are possible for Thursday but a storm LID/CAP should keep rain on the light side.  Those storms (boundary) should start moving into Texas on Thursday and Thursday night into Friday morning the boundary will make its way into South Texas.

 

The cold front will move through the Crossroads through the day on Friday (early) and exiting the area by Friday afternoon or early evening.  Rain chances along the boundary are possible but rain chances look better Friday night and Saturday morning as the front passes through and the cold air undercuts the warmer air.  That lift will create the showers.  Saturday will feel like the coolest day of the season as winds whip up, showers take place, limited sun and temperatures near 60 degrees.  Showers will keep it cool again on Sunday but temperatures will slowly start to warm on Monday and Tuesday.

 

Tropical Update:  Sub-Tropical Storm Nicole moving west southwest at 10 mph with 65 mph winds will impact the peninsula of Florida and parts of the southeast coast of the United States.  The storm will move into South Florida early on Thursday and could be a category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds (near Melbourne, Florida or north of West Palm Beach).  Hurricane force conditions could impact Florida and the Bahamas as early as Wednesday.

A low pressure storm several hundred miles east of Bermuda could turn into a tropical storm over the next 24-36 hours.   The storm will move northeastward out over the Atlantic (middle of the Atlantic).