Heat Advisory in effect until 8 pm with temperatures near 112 degrees (Heat Index)

Monday Weather 7-4-22

 

 

 

Victoria, Texas-: Tonight: Mostly clear skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 76 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph becoming SE 5-10 mph after Midnight.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.  Heat Advisory in effect until 8 pm for Victoria, Calhoun, Refugio and Aransas Counties.  Heat Indices could reach 112 degrees.  Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses to occur.  Stay hydrated with plenty of water and be careful when locking the car door as a child or pet could still remain in the vehicle.

TuesdaySunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 96 degrees. Heat Index Value near 106 degrees.  Winds: SE 10-15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 77 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph but becoming light after Midnight.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms after.

WednesdayMostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 96 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 77 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph becoming light after Midnight.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Thursday through Tuesday: 

 
Thursday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 94/77 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm.
 
Friday: Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 95/77 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
SaturdayMostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 97/76 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
 
Sunday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 98/76 degrees. Winds: SW 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
 
Monday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 99/76 degrees. Winds: S 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
 
TuesdayMostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 99/77 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Synopsis: Dewpoint temperatures are coming down (dropping below 1.5″) as high-pressure is drying the moisture out of the atmosphere.  Yesterday’s Heat Advisory was cancelled before 7 pm (early) as temperatures came down under 110 degrees (Heat Index Calculated).  High-pressure over the northwest Gulf of Mexico will move to the northwest during the week.  The center will be right over east Texas Monday into Tuesday morning.

As the moisture levels drop, this will keep the 4th of July (Monday) hot and dry.  The drier atmosphere might keep heat indices down compared to the last few days, but 105-109 degrees should be reached with a few spots hitting 110 degrees or higher.  The Seabreeze will keep breezy conditions (winds out of the southeast at 25 mph) combined with low relative humidity (25-35 percent) and dry fuels and elevated fire weather could be a concern away from the coast on the 4th of July.

For the long-term period,  Tuesday through Sunday, strong high pressure will be over the southeastern portion of the country during the early part of the work week.   Later in the week the high will move into the Plains.  Storms will move through Texas from east to west Wednesday and Thursday as moisture levels increase.  The increased moisture, storms and lift could allow for the sun to heat the area up and deliver rain and thunderstorms over the viewing area on Thursday.  Heat indices all week will be in the 105–109-degree range.