Heat Advisory in effect until 7 pm Friday with Heat Indices of 111 degrees away from the coast

Friday Weather 6-10-22

 

 

 

Victoria, Texas-: TonightMostly clear skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 76 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Saturday: Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 101/77 degrees. Winds: SW 5-15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.  Heat Index Value Temperatures will be around 110 degrees.
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 76 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
SundayMostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 99/77 degrees. Winds: S 5-15/G20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Sunday Night: Mostly clear skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  Low: 77 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Monday through Thursday: 

MondaySunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 96/77 degrees. Winds: S 10-15 mph increasing to S 15-20/G25 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Tuesday:  Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 94/77 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15 mph increasing to SE 15-20/G25 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Wednesday:  Partly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 94/76 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 30% chance of (isolated) scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday: Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 97/75 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Friday: Partly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 100/75 degrees. Winds: E 15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Saturday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 99/75 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 40% chance of scattered showers and PM thunderstorms.

Synopsis: The high-pressure system that has locked the area (Southwestern United States) down with intense heat will stick around for a few more days.  High-pressure strengthening over South Texas will lead to more hot and humid weather with temperatures at 100 degrees or warmer through Saturday (cooler on the coast). 

 

The airflow from the Gulf will bring moisture into South Texas leading to higher humidity and dewpoints, thus pushing heat indices into the 110 degrees plus range through Saturday.  This has prompted Heat Advisory’s for a good portion of South Texas from 1 pm until 7 pm on Friday.  Locations not under advisories (Aransas, Calhoun, Refugio, Southern Barrier Islands) will see heat indices from 105-109 degrees.  Early clouds on Friday turned into mostly sunny conditions.

 

The Heat Advisory should reactivate under the same time and circumstances for Saturday. Saturday will be even a little bit warmer.  Stay hydrated and do not leave kids and pets in unattended vehicles with the windows closed.
 
Use caution when swimming as Friday’s rip currents could be dangerous (Moderate Risk).
 
For the long-term period, Saturday night through Thursday, maybe a tad cooler, but hot and dry conditions look to keep on going.  High pressure will control the area until potentially Wednesday. The Heat Advisory will be a concern for Sunday as heat indices climb to 110-114 degrees away from the water.

Storms moving northeast towards the Great Plains will trigger winds out of the southeast (20-25/G35) across South Texas through Tuesday.  On Wednesday storms in northwest Mexico will push into South Texas, increasing lift and moisture values (1.75″).  Winds might weaken down to 10-20 mph but the storms combined with the lift and heating from the sun could trigger some thunderstorms. 
 

Wednesday might be the jagged puzzle piece, because other than the middle of the week, South Texas will endure hot and dry conditions.  The spike in the winds Saturday through Tuesday could cause concern for Elevated Fire Weather conditions with humidity values at 30 percent or less.  

Monday through Wednesday will have more cloud cover which will cause temperatures to drop down compared to the latest heat wave across the area.  Temperatures will go from intense to still very hot as the heat indices still reach 105-109 degrees away from the coast.  

To make matters worse, Saharan Dust (plumes) will make its way into South Texas Saturday night into Sunday morning moving east to northwest through the Caribbean Sea.  This could cause allergens as well as hot, hazy, muggy conditions becoming worse.  A definite drop in air quality. 
 
Strong winds out of the southeast (20-25/G35) could cause minor coastal flooding pushing waves 1 foot above normal high tide for Monday and Tuesday mornings.