Expect rain and cooler temperatures on Monday

Monday Weather 12-6-21

 

VICTORIA, Texas-: Today: Mostly cloudy skies with light winds becoming breezy while temperatures stay above average until later in the day.  High: 76 degrees. Winds: S 5-10 mph increasing to N 15-20/G25.  A 60% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Temperature highs will be around 11 am until the front drop’s temperatures throughout the day down to 60 degrees.

Monday Night: Cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  Low: 51 degrees. Winds: N 10-15/G20 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 68 degrees. Winds: NE 5 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  Low: 57 degrees. Winds: S 5 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Wednesday through Monday:    

Wednesday: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 77/62 degrees. Winds: SW 5 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: Partly cloudy skies (AM clouds PM sun) with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 83/67 degrees. Winds: SW 15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Friday: Partly cloudy skies (AM clouds PM sun) with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 84/66 degrees. Winds: S 15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday: Partly cloudy to partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 79/47 degrees. Winds: NW 10 mph.  A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Temperature highs will be falling as a cold front drop’s temperatures later on in the day into the 60’s.

Sunday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 65/42 degrees. Winds: NE 5 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 71/54 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Synopsis: 
Clouds build as Gulf moisture moves up from the south and storm energy pushes into South Texas from the southwest. The clouds should prevent too much of a cool down overnight.

How much fog we see overnight will determine on how strong the winds are.  Winds will be strong enough overnight to scour out the fog but as winds die down towards morning, then fog could settle before sunrise.

The cold front should move through the area on Monday afternoon.  The sun’s stored energy plus moisture values from 1.5″ to 2″, 25-35 mph winds and minimal CIN (opposition to lift, pushing down) could be enough for some rain showers and a potential thunderstorm (strong storm).

Temperatures will drop quite rapidly behind the front as the cold air and winds move down from the north.  The cold front should be through the area by the end of the day on Monday.

In the long term for the extended period, days 3 to 7, Tuesday through Sunday, high-pressure will build into the region on Tuesday as winds blow from out of the northeast in South Texas.

Rain showers over the Gulf waters are possible on Tuesday as the cold front stalls (out over the waters) after clearing South Texas.  Late Tuesday into Wednesday the cold front (or what’s left of it) lifts back north as a warm front in the form of warm air and warm Gulf moisture.

A low-pressure system across the southern High Plains will begin to move east on Wednesday.  This movement will slow down the moisture to the east of the region while drier air moves in from the west. For the latter half of the week,  drier conditions are to be expected.

Another cold front will move through the region on Saturday (over the weekend) either in the afternoon or later in the evening on Saturday.

In a quick recap, after the cold front pushes through on Monday December 6th, then temperatures should still be cool on Tuesday December 7th due to thick cloud coverage and cool airflow out of the northeast.  Warm air then will push back up out of the Gulf on Wednesday December 8th that will increase temperatures into the weekend.  Drier air will allow for more sunshine as skies continue too clear.  The front over the weekend could bring some rain showers as we keep the chances around 20-40 percent.