Early fog but mostly sunny, breezy and hot conditions

Friday Weather 5-13-22

 

 


Victoria
, Texas-: TodayMostly sunny with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 93 degrees. Winds: Light early becoming SE 10-15/G20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.  Patchy fog before 9 am.
Friday Night: Increasing clouds with partly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 69 degrees. Winds: S 5-15/G20 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Saturday: Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 92 degrees. Winds: S 5-15/G20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 69 degrees. Winds: SE 5-15/G20 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Sunday through Friday: 

Sunday: Sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 93/69 degrees. Winds: S 5-15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Monday: Sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 96/72 degrees. Winds: S 10-15/G20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 92/73 degrees. Winds: SE 20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Wednesday: Sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 93/75 degrees. Winds: SE 20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday: Sunny with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 95/75 degrees. Winds: SE 20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Friday:  Partly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 93/69 degrees. Winds: SE 20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Synopsis: In the next day or so the high-pressure system should start to move further to the east.  Dry air continues to move in from the northwest due to the pull on the high-pressure system in Mexico.  Dropping moisture levels will be less than an 1″ and potentially headed down to near 1/2″.  That is dry so goodbye rain chances for a while.  The area needs to be around 2″ of moisture to see rain under most realistic circumstances. 


Winds have eased to the 15-20 mph range and that should hold for Friday.  Weaker winds could allow for fog once again on Friday morning, the fog was thick in portions of the viewing area on Thursday morning.  The dry conditions could lead to elevated fire weather concerns on Friday afternoon.  The next couple of nights will be in the 60’s and 70’s while coastal high temperatures warm to around 90 degrees, while further west the mercury could be near 100 degrees.
Exercise caution at the beach as rip currents have been high the last day or so.

For the long-term period, Saturday through Thursday, abundant sunshine and temperatures in the 90’s (above average) continue through the rest of the week (the forecast period).  High-pressure in the Southern Rocky Mountains stretching down into Northern Mexico will start to move east over the weekend.  The high-pressure will be over South Texas by Monday, and then should head out over the Gulf by Tuesday.
Storms over the Desert Southwest on Monday should move into the High Pains on Tuesday.  This should trigger low-pressure development over the Texas Panhandle on Tuesday.  This nearby storm will pull on the departing high-pressure system in the Gulf and will spike up the winds in the area on Tuesday along the coast.  The storms will remain in west Texas on Wednesday and Thursday, keeping the winds on the breezy side. 

Weather will move from west to east through the Rocky Mountains and the Plains on Wednesday and Thursday.  The moisture levels in South Texas will remain on the dry side (Tuesday) around 1/2″ to 1″ but should start to increase a little bit on Wednesday and Thursday.  Temperatures will warm on Wednesday and Thursday.  Combined with the moisture increase and heat indices will be on the rise as well (105-109 degrees for the coast).  This will prompt heat advisories for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday with elevated fire weather being a concern as well.