Cooler temperatures and closer to average but the sun will shine

Tuesday Weather 9-27-22

 

 

Victoria, Texas-: Tonight: Clear skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  Low: 61 degrees. Winds: NE 10 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 88 degrees. Winds: NE 5-10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night: Clear skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  Low: 60 degrees. Winds: E 5.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Thursday through Wednesday:

Thursday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 88/57 degrees. Winds: NE 5-10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Friday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 87/57 degrees. Winds: NE 5-10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 88/60 degrees. Winds: NE 5 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 89/63 degrees. Winds: N 5 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 91/63 degrees. Winds: SW 5 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 92/64 degrees. Winds: SW 5 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorm.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 91/65 degrees. Winds: E 5 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorm.

Synopsis: Relative humidity levels during the afternoons are getting knocked down to 20-30 percent as high pressure pushes down and dry air moves down from the north.  Some dew point temperatures are in the 30’s and 40’s.

Drier air along with high pressure moved in behind yesterdays cold front putting an end to most rain activity along the coast but some showers still lingered into Monday night and into Tuesday morning.  High pressure will be sitting right over the area on Tuesday pushing winds down from the north while allowing for ample sunshine.

For the long term, Thursday through Wednesday, high pressure will keep skies clear right through the weekend.  This means lots of sun, warm temperatures but without the clouds some nights could drop into the 50’s further inland.  As moisture levels drop down to below an inch (below average) then the sun will keep us on the warm side.  Winds and swells from Hurricane Ian could produce coastal flooding Tuesday night through Friday.  Wave heights could increase to between 9-11 feet with swell periods between 10-15 seconds Wednesday night through Thursday night increasing wave run up on the beaches that could cause sand dune erosion.  Coastal hazards will still be present but conditions should start to improve by the weekend.

Tropical Update: Long period swells should reach South Texas beaches after Midnight tonight (Tuesday into Wednesday).  Wave periods should start being around 10 seconds are more by then.  Minor coastal flooding during high tide could happen overnight Tuesday into Wednesday continuing until the end of the week as well.  Higher swells could lead to higher wave run up that could effect beach access.  Currents and swells could be dangerous for swimmers.

Ian is a Category 3 Hurricane with 120 mph winds moving north at 10 mph.  After moving through western Cuba, now Ian is headed towards Florida where life threatening storm surge should evolve over the next day. Hurricane force winds should start impacting southwestern and central Florida by Wednesday morning.  Heavy rains will effect most of the Florida Peninsula over the next several days.  These showers will move to the rest of the southeast part of the United States on Thursday and Friday.

A wave of disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands.  A tropical depression should develop in the next couple of days with a conducive environment but upper level winds should slow the progression down as the storm moves north over the next few days.