Cloudy and cold with early rain

Tuesday Weather 3-8-22

 

 

Victoria, Texas-:  TodayCloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 49 degrees. winds: N 10 mph.  A 70% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly before 11 am.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay below average.  Low: 41 degrees. Winds: N 10-15 mph.  20% chance of scattered showers and possible thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy gradually becoming sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 63 degrees. winds: NE 10 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms before Noon.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  Low: 43 degrees. Winds: NE 5 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and possible thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Thursday through Tuesday: 

Thursday: Partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 73/52 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Friday: Partly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 67/32 degrees. Winds: E 10-15 mph increasing to the NW 20-25/G30 mph.  A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday: Sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 57/35 degrees. Winds: N 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday: Sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay below average. High: 66/47 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 80/51 degrees. Winds: S 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 77/47 degrees. Winds: N 10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Synopsis: The trough/disturbance that was near the Four Corners on Monday afternoon will move east into Oklahoma and North Texas Tuesday evening.  During the same time, another disturbance/trough will be moving out of Mexico and into South Texas by 7 am on Tuesday.

Cooler air out of the north started undercutting warmer air to the south Monday evening and overnight at the 300 mb/30,000 feet level.  This lifting brought light rain over the coastal locations and out over the Gulf that started Monday night and will last into Tuesday morning.  The showers will taper off from west to east by Tuesday afternoon as this undercutting moves off to the northeast.

Cloud cover and rain will keep temperatures in the 50’s on Tuesday near the coast and inland, while temperatures further west will reach the 60’s as clouds start to breakup.

Most of the moisture and undercutting will be east of the viewing area by Tuesday night, but another disturbance/trough will move into South Texas overnight on Tuesday.  There should be enough moisture to bring chances for light rain (20-30 percent chance) to inland locations, along the coast, as well as out over the open waters.

For the long-term period, Wednesday through Monday, a trough/disturbance as well as cooler air undercutting warmer air will move into the viewing area on Wednesday.  Due to limited moisture levels, rain chances will stay at 10-20 percent and could be as high as 30 percent out over the Gulf.

A cold front will move through the viewing area Friday morning, reaching the coast by Friday afternoon or even earlier than that.  This front once again will knock down temperatures with the warmest part of the day being earlier in the day.  There will be light showers along and ahead of the front, but due to limited moisture these showers will be light and rain chances will be between 20-30 percent.

Strong winds out of the north will develop behind the front on Friday afternoon.  These winds could lead to Elevated Fire Weather conditions as well as Wind Advisories for Friday and even into Saturday for eastern portions of the viewing area.

High pressure will move in behind the front allowing skies to clear, leading to cold nights for Friday and Saturday.  Overnight temperatures could potentially drop below freezing (32 degrees) for Victoria and the northern portions of the viewing area.  Breezy winds combined with the cold temperatures will lead to wind chill temperatures falling into the 20’s.  This could prompt a Wind Chill Advisory as well as a Freeze Watch over the weekend. Temperatures will warm back up into the 60’s and 70’s on Sunday and even into the 80’s by Monday.