Clouds continue to move in overnight while winds gust to 25 mph

Monday Weather 3-28-22

 

 


Victoria
, Texas-:  Tonight: Mostly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  Low: 63 degrees. Winds: SE 15-20/G25 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and possible thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 82 degrees. Winds: S 15-25/G30.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  Low: 67 degrees. Winds: SE 20-25/G35 mph.  60% chance of scattered showers and possible thunderstorms after 1 am.

Extended Forecast: Wednesday through Tuesday: 

Wednesday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 88/52 degrees. Winds: W 15-20/G30 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms before 1 pm.

Thursday: Sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 83/56 degrees. Winds: NE 10-15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Friday: Mostly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 80/63 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday: Partly sunny skies (AM Clouds and PM Sun) with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 82/57 degrees. Winds: NW 15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday: Partly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 79/54 degrees. Winds: NE 15.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Partly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 78/61 degrees. Winds: SE 20.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 81/59 degrees. Winds: S 20.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Synopsis: High pressure continues to control the atmosphere from the north, south, east and west.  Sunny, dry and warm conditions are the result. Low pressure on the west coast will start to move east as high pressure moves away from South Texas from west to east by Wednesday. As the low pressure (and cold front) head towards Texas the storms will strengthen on the non-windward side of the Rocky Mountains and into the High Plains.

That movement will allow for Gulf moisture (from the southeast) to move into South Texas.  This will happen on Monday and Tuesday.  Moisture values will increase by Monday afternoon.  Even with the moisture increase, low relative humidity, and the airflow out of the Gulf will allow for Elevated Fire Weather Conditions in portions of the viewing area on Monday afternoon.  Fog will be tough to show up due to fast moving (35-45 mph winds) upper-level winds.  Those winds will assist with moisture moving into the Crossroads as well as cloud development.

Increased clouds and moisture will allow for warmer overnight temperatures and highs in the 80’s out west and temperatures in the 70’s near the water.

For the long-term period, Tuesday through Sunday, storms head toward Texas while potential fire weather continues.  Those storms will strengthen over the High Plains on Tuesday while the rest of the storms move through the Southern Rocky Mountains.  Winds out of the southeast will increase to 30 mph on Tuesday in South Texas.  Wind Advisories and Critical Fire Weather conditions will be prevalent on Tuesday and Tuesday night over the coast as upper-level winds out of the south strengthen (55-65 mph).

Early on Wednesday (7 am to 11 am) a cold front will push through the Crossroads and through the rest of the Crossroads by late Morning.  A storm CAP will keep the area dry but stored energy from the sun, air coming together, plus the lift along the front could lead to some showers.

The boundary will exit, and drier air will move into South Texas, re-activating Critical Fire Danger if it does not go away in the first place.

High pressure moves back in, allowing for sinking warming air, relative humidity levels from 15 percent and the single digits, while winds gust to 35-40 mph behind the front.

The high pressure will move off to the east on Thursday, while breezy winds, and hot temperatures keep the Elevated Fire Danger going.

The exit of the high pressure will allow Gulf moisture (from the south and southeast) to move back into the Crossroads.  The moisture increase will destabilize the atmosphere on Friday, while trough moves into Texas as well.  Stored energy from the sun could promote rain showers Friday night into Saturday morning.  Another cold front moves into South Texas Saturday into Sunday.