Another hot one in the Crossroads but rain could cool us down very soon

Thursday Weather 8-4-22

 

 

Victoria, Texas-: Tonight: Partly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 76 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph becoming light after Midnight.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. 

Friday: Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 95 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 74 degrees. Winds: SE 5-15/G20 mph.  20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 91/75 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph.  A 60% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 75 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G25 mph becoming light after Midnight.  20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Sunday through Friday: 

Sunday: Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 94/75 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G25 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm.  

Monday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 94/76 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 30% chance of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 94/76 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 95/74 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

Thursday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 96/75 degrees. Winds: S 10 mph.  A 40% chance of AM scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

Friday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 97/7 degrees. Winds: S 15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Synopsis: Heat advisories will be active until 7 pm Thursday while Red Flag Warnings and Elevated Fire Weather could carry on until 8 pm.  Winds should stay just under wind advisory criteria on Thursday.  High pressure will move around from the Four Corners Region, the Desert Southwest, the Southern Plains and the Southern Rocky Mountains area.  A trough will move west across the western Gulf of Mexico.  Low moisture levels will keep rain chances on the low side until the weekend.

For the long-term period, Thursday night through Tuesday, rain chances over the weekend could knock temperatures down.  Unfortunately, the rain (totals) should not alter the current drought conditions in South Texas.

Unstable air from the sun combined with spinning and lift in the atmosphere over in the southeastern portion of the United States (and northeastern Gulf of Mexico) will move from east to west (across the Gulf) towards Texas.  This movement will help moisture levels rise into the 2.0″ range (round average).  The above weather criteria will increase rain chances over the weekend and into the middle of next week.  Coastal areas could see rain (60 percent chance) on Saturday with slightly more than trace (0.01″) amounts.  Through the middle of next week rain totals could be closer to 1″.

The rainfall potential this weekend will not be much of a dent in the drought the area has experienced the last several months.  South Texas (certain locations) would need 7-12″ of rain for even slight improvements from the drought the area has suffered through.  A small win with the rain will be that temperatures should cool a little bit with heat indices staying out of heat advisory criteria and maybe even below 105 degrees.  Tropical Weather Update: There is not any tropical storm

or hurricane activity expected over the next 48 hours.