A hot day with cooler temperatures on the way

Wednesday Weather 4-13-22

 

Victoria, Texas-:  TodayAM clouds with PM sun (partly sunny skies) with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 89 degrees. Winds: S 15/G20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

 

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 60 degrees. Winds: NE 10-15 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and possible thunderstorms.

Thursday: Sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 85 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 65 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph.  10% chance of scattered showers and possible thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Friday through Wednesday: 

Friday: Mostly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 84/68 degrees. Winds: SE 10-15/G20 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1 pm.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 87/68 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday: Partly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 88/65 degrees. Winds: SE 20.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average.  High: 86/57 degrees. Winds: NE 15.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 81/58 degrees. Winds: NE 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 82/66 degrees. Winds: SE 20 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms

Synopsis: Stored energy from the sun moving out of the southwest (towards the northeast) triggered some showers in the area before the sun came up on Tuesday morning.

The sun created some more showers that moved across South Texas on Tuesday afternoon, with most of the rain moving offshore out over the Gulf later in the afternoon.

Another group of rain showers developed later in the afternoon and into the evening on Tuesday (7 pm to 1 am).  Those showers tapered off later Tuesday evening/night.

The Storm Prediction Center suggested a Marginal Risk for severe weather in the northeastern portion of the viewing area on Tuesday.  The storms didn’t become strong enough to overcome the CAP/lid on the atmosphere, thus preventing very strong (severe) storms.

For the long-term period, Wednesday through Monday, low pressure storms will move through the Central Plains, keeping winds on the breezy side through Wednesday morning.

Storms and troughs will move through the Central Plains on Wednesday, this will push a dryline boundary into the Crossroads during this time. The dry air behind the boundary will drop humidity levels down between 20-40 percent on Wednesday.  This drop could promote critical fire weather for the rest of the week as winds pick up behind the dryline.

After temperatures warm into the 80’s, 90’s and 100’s out west on Wednesday, a cold front will move through (catching up to the dryline and the dryline may move back towards the northwest or even become absorbed by the cold front) South Texas on Wednesday night (Thursday morning).  The intrusion of cooler air will keep temperatures in the lower 80’s and nights in the lower 60’s for a day or two.

Due to the dry nature of the atmosphere, combined with a storm CAP, not a lot of rain can be expected with the passage of this front.

A warm front will move up from the south on Thursday, and a disturbance/trough from the west will move into South Texas on Friday.  This movement has as a chance to bring rain showers to the area each day.

High pressure will move into South Texas to kick off the weekend.  Sunshine, clear skies and pushing down of the atmosphere should warm temperatures back up into the 90’s and 100’s further west.