Some cool days and nights before the sun warms South Texas back up

Tuesday Weather 10-18-22

 

Victoria, Texas-: Today: Partly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 69 degrees. Winds: NE 10-15/G20 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 45 degrees. Winds: N 5-10/G20.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Sunny with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 71 degrees. Winds: NE 5-10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night: Clear skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  Low: 47 degrees. Winds: N 5.  10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Extended Forecast: Thursday through Wednesday:

Thursday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 80/55 degrees. Winds: W 5 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Friday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 84/62 degrees. Winds: SW 5-10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 86/68 degrees. Winds: S 15 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday: Partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 86/70 degrees. Winds: SE 20 mph.  A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 85/67 degrees. Winds: S 15 mph.  A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average.  High: 85/61 degrees. Winds: SW 10 mph.  A 30% chance of AM scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average.  High: 87/62 degrees. Winds: NE 10 mph.  A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Synopsis: A cold front pushed through South Texas bringing rain showers as well as cooler air.  Overnight Monday there are still some rain chances but most of the activity stayed to the south of the viewing area and out over the water.  A storm in New Mexico is moving southeast and could help with some overnight showers into Tuesday morning for South Texas in the western and southern part of the viewing area.  Dry air will move into the northeastern part of the viewing area.  High pressure will push cooler, dry, sinking air into the viewing area on Tuesday allowing for showers to taper off from north to south.  By Tuesday night the Crossroads could see some of the coldest weather of this young season as clear skies let the daytime heat to disperse into the atmosphere as locations away from the water drop into the mid 40’s.  High tide could allow for some coastal flooding as winds out of the northeast strengthen (20 mph wind gusts).

For the long term, Wednesday through Sunday, dry, and eventually warmer conditions look to be prevalent for the rest of the week.  Storms will be in the eastern portion of the United States, this will keep dry air moving down from the north (northwest) and into Texas.  Moisture levels will be below average (less than 1″) and as a disturbance pushes through the area on Wednesday, the feature should not be enough to disrupt dry, sunny conditions.  High pressure will start to move away from Texas and off to the east on Tuesday (Tuesday through Friday), this will allow low-level moisture out of the Gulf (southeast) to start moving back into South Texas.  Warmer, dry conditions will be the mainstay into the weekend.  Rain chances could increase after the weekend as storms from the Pacific move into Texas.  Combinations of moisture from post tropical systems and some other disturbances could lead to these showers Monday and Tuesday.

Tropical Update: Storm activity is not expected over the next 48-hours.